Newshub Reid Research poll late August 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  approx 22 to 30 August 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

• National 43.3% (-1.1%)
• Labour 39.4% (+6.3%)
• Green 6.1% (-2.2%)
• NZ First 6.6% (-2.6%)
• Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.6% (nc)
• Mana
• Opportunities 1.9% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 53
• Labour 49
• Green 8
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• NZ First 8
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 53 + ACT 1 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 49 + Greens 8 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 30.1% (+2.4%)
• Jacinda Ardern 29.9% (+3.6%)
• Winston Peters 6.9% (-3.1%)