Roy Morgan poll August 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 873 of whom 816 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.5%

Dates: 31 July to 13 August 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 42.5% (-0.5%)
• Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
• Green 9.0% (-4.5%)
• NZ First 11.5% (+3.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana 0.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 52
• Labour 40
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• NZ First 14
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 52 + ACT 1 = 53/120 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 11 = 51/120 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 14 + Maori 2 = 16/120

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 62.5% (-0.5%)
• Wrong 23.5% (nc)
• Can’t Say 14.0% (+0.5%)