One News Colmar Brunton poll late August 2017
August 31, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference
Undecideds:
Dates: 26 August to 30 August 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 41.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 43.0% (+6.0%)
- Green 5.0% (+0.7%)
- NZ First 8.0% (-2.0%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.7%)
- ACT
- Opportunities 1.0% (-1.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 50
- Labour 53
- Green 6
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- NZ First 10
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Haururu to Maori Party.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 50 + ACT 1 = 51/121 – 11 fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 53 + Greens 6 = 59/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 33.0% (+3%)
- Jacinda Ardern 34% (+4%)
- Winston Peters 4% (-3%)