One News Colmar Brunton poll late August 2017

August 31, 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 26 August to 30 August 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 41.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 43.0% (+6.0%)
  • Green 5.0% (+0.7%)
  • NZ First 8.0% (-2.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.7%)
  • ACT
  • Opportunities 1.0% (-1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 50
  • Labour 53
  • Green 6
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Haururu to Maori Party.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 50 + ACT 1 = 51/121 – 11 fewer the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 53 + Greens 6 = 59/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Bill English 33.0% (+3%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 34% (+4%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (-3%)

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