One News Colmar Brunton poll early August 2017
August 17, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom 834 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 12 August to 16 August 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 44.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 37.0% (+13.0%)
- Green 4.3.0% (-10.7%)
- NZ First 10.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.1% (+0.6%)
- ACT 0.4% (+0.1%)
- Opportunities 2.1% (+0.6%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 49
- Green 0
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- NZ First 12
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 = 58/121 – three fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 49 + Greens 0 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 30.0% (+2%)
- Jacinda Ardern 30% (+24%)
- Winston Peters 7% (-3%)
Economy
- Better 55% (+7%)
- Same 31% (+2%)
- Worse 14% (-8%)
Water Tax
- Support 59%
- Oppose 32%
Increase tax rate for those earning over $150,000
- Support 63%
- Oppose 30%