Newshub Reid Research poll early August 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  1 to 8 August 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

• National 44.4% (-0.8%)
• Labour 33.1% (+9.0%)
• Green 8.3% (-4.7%)
• NZ First 9.2% (-3.8%)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.3%)
• United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
• ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
• Mana 0.3% (+0.3%)
• Opportunities 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 55
• Labour 41
• Green 10
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 11
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 10 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 27.7% (+1.9%)
• Jacinda Ardern 26.3% (+17.6%)
• Winston Peters 10.0% (-1.9%)

Leader Approval

• Bill English – 51.3% (+0.7%) well and 23.2% (-1.0%) poorly for a net +28.1% (+1.7%)
• Jacinda Ardern – 51.6%(+22.0% from Little)) well and 13.3% (-32.8%) poorly for a net +38.3% (+52.8%)