Roy Morgan poll July 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 868 of whom 794 have a party preference

Undecideds: 8.5%

Dates: 26 June to 9 July 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 43.0% (-3.5%)
• Labour 30.5% (+5.0%)
• Green 13.5% (-0.5%)
• NZ First 8.0% (-1.0%)
• Maori 1.5% (nc)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 53
• Labour 37
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 37 + Greens 17 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/121

On this poll the NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 63.0 (+1.5%)
• Wrong 23.5% (-3.5)
• Can’t Say 13.5% (+2.0%)