One News Colmar Brunton poll late July 2017
July 30, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,005 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference
Undecideds: 16%
Dates: 22 July to 27 July 2017
Client: One News
Party Support
- National 47.0% (nc)
- Labour 24.0% (-3.0%)
- Green 15.0% (+4.0%)
- NZ First 11.0% (nc)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.8%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
- ACT 0.3% (nc)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
- Opportunities 2.0% (+0.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 30
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 14
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 30 + Greens 18 = 48/122 – 14 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 14 + Maori 1 = 15/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 28.0% (+2%)
- Andrew Little 6% (+1%)
- Winston Peters 10% (-1%)
- Jacinda Ardern 6% (nc)