Roy Morgan poll May 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 856 of whom 809 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 01 May to 14 May 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 43.0% (nc)
• Labour 28.5% (-1.0%)
• Green 14.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 10.0% (-0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (-1.0%)
• Mana/Internet 1.0% (+1.0%)
• Conservative 0.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 53
• Labour 35
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 12
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 35 + Greens 17 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 60.5 (+2.5%)
• Wrong 27.0% (-2.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)