Roy Morgan poll June 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 871 of whom 817 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.5%

Dates: 29 May to 11 June 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 46.5% (+3.5%)
• Labour 25.5% (-3.0%)
• Green 14.0% (nc)
• NZ First 9.0% (-1.0%)
• Maori 1.5% (nc)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 0.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 32
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 11
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 32 + Greens 17 = 49/121 – 11 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 61.5 (+1.0%)
• Wrong 27.0% (nc)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)