One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,007 voters of whom around 801 have a party vote preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 27 May to 31 May 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 49.0% (+3.0%)
• Labour 30.0% (nc)
• Green 9.0% (-2.0%)
• NZ First 9.0% (+1.0%)
• Maori 0.6% (-3.1%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.1%%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
• Conservative 0.0% (-0.3%)
• Opportunities 1.4% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 37
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 11
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 37 + Greens 11 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/122

On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 29.0% (+3%)
• Andrew Little 8% (+1%)
• Winston Peters 7% (-2%)
• Jacinda Ardern 6% (-3%)

2017 Budget

• 44% support tax changes
• 30% opposed

Housing

• Government taking right approach 30%
• Wrong approach 59%

Mental Health

• Support independent inquiry 77%
• Oppose 16%