Newshub Reid Research poll June 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  June 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

• National 47.4% (+0.3%)
• Labour 26.4% (-4.4%)
• Green 12.5% (+1.3%)
• NZ First 9.4% (+1.8%)
• Maori 0.7% (nc)
• United Future 0.3% (-0.1%)
• ACT 0.9% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 0.8% (+0.4%)
• Opportunities 0.8% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 58
• Labour 33
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 12
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122

On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 26.2% (+1.2%)
• Andrew Little 7.0% (-1.3%)
• Winston Peters 9.7% (+0.8%)
• Jacinda Ardern 6.6% (-3.9%)

Leader Approval

• Andrew Little -6% (-5.5%)
• Bill English +25% (-5%)

2017 Budget Family Incomes Package

• Support 67%
• Oppose 26%