Roy Morgan poll April 2017

April 29, 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 862 of whom 802 have a party preference

Undecideds: 7.0%

Dates: 01 April to 16 April 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 43.0% (-0.5%)
  • Labour 29.5% (nc)
  • Green 13.0% (-1.5%)
  • NZ First 10.5% (+3.0%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 1.5% (+1.0%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 52
  • Labour 36
  • Green 16
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 13
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 52 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 13 + Maori 1 = 14/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0 (-3.5%)
  • Wrong 29.0% (+3.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)

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