Roy Morgan poll January 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 868 of whom 812 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.5%

Dates: 03 January to 16 January 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 46.0% (+1.0%)
• Labour 27.0% (-1.5%)
• Green 12.5% (-2.0%)
• NZ First 9.0% (+1.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (+1.0)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 33
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 11
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/120 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 33 + Greens 15 = 48/120 – thirteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/120

On this poll National could govern with either the Maori Party or NZ First while Labour/Greens would need both NZ First and the Maori Party.

Country Direction

• Right 63.0% (+4.5%)
• Wrong 23.0% (-4.5%)
• Can’t Say 14.0% (+3.0%)