Roy Morgan poll February 2017

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 852 of whom 805 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 30 January to 12 February 2017

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 48.0% (+2.0%)
• Labour 26.0% (-1.0%)
• Green 13.0% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 8.0% (-1.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (nc)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 0.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 32
• Green 16
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 = 48/121 – thirteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/121

On this poll National would govern with ACT and United Future.

Country Direction

• Right 63.5% (+0.5%)
• Wrong 23.5% (+0.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)

Most Important Issues

• Housing 26% (-1%)
• Poverty 17% (+1%)