One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2017
February 20, 2017
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,003 voters of whom 808 have a voting preference
Undecideds: 15%
Dates: 11 February to 15 February 2017
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 46.0% (-4%)
- Labour 30.0% (+2%)
- Green 11.0% (-2.0%)
- NZ First 11.0% (+1.0%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.8%)
- Mana 0.8% (+0.8)
- Conservative 0.2% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 36
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 13
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 13 + Maori 1 = 14/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- Bill English 31.0% (-5% from Key)
- Andrew Little 7% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 8% (nc)
- Jacinda Ardern 4% (+3%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 48% (+5%)
- Worse 22% (-11%)
- Same 30% (+6%)
Influential Issues
- Housing 27%
- Education 20%
- Economy 16%
- Health 15%
- Environment 9%
- Immigration 9%
- Child Poverty 5%
- Jobs 5%
- Crime 4%
Most Important Issue
- Housing 16%
- Economy 11%
- Health 8%
- Education 7%
- Immigration 6%
- Environment 5%
Summer Holidays shift to February
- Support 32%
- Oppose 52%
Waitangi Day
- Govt continue to attend at Waitangi 61%
- Stop attending 31%