One News Colmar Brunton poll September 2016
September 12, 2016
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,013 voters of whom 845 have a party preference
Undecideds: 13%
Dates: 03 September to 09 September 2016
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 48.0% (nc)
- Labour 26.0% (-3%)
- Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 11.0% (+2.0%)
- Maori 1.8% (+1.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 0.3% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 31
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 13
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 31 + Greens 15 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 13 + Maori 2 = 15/122
On this poll National (plus ACT and United) could govern with the Maori Party. Labour could govern with Greens, NZ First and Maori Party. The Maori Party would hold the effective balance of power.
Preferred PM
- John Key 38.0% (-1%)
- Andrew Little 10% (+3%)
- Winston Peters 11% (-1%)
- Jacinda Ardern 1.0% (nc)
Economy
- Better 45% (+3%)
- Worse 31% (-5%)
Immigration
- Fewer migrants 38% (+11% from April)
- Current numbers rights 44% (-7%)
- More migrants 13% (-5%)
Housing
- 53% say Government should take more action even if it reduces house values
- 31% say more should be done but only if house values do not shrink
- 11% say no more action needed