Roy Morgan poll August 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 845 of whom 794 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: early August to 21 August 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 46.0% (-7.0%)
• Labour 25.5% (nc)
• Green 14.5% (+3.0%)
• NZ First 9.5% (+2.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (+1.0%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 1.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 31
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 12
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 31 + Greens 18 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 12 + Maori 2 = 14/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 58.0% (+0.5%)
• Wrong 30.5% (nc)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)