Roy Morgan poll July 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 864 of whom 799 have a party preference

Undecideds: 7.5%

Dates: early July to 17 June 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 53.0% (+10.0%)
• Labour 25.5% (-2.5%)
• Green 11.5% (-3.0%)
• NZ First 7.0% (-2.0%)
• Maori 0.5% (-1.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana/Internet 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 64
• Labour 31
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 9
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/121 – five more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 31 + Greens 14 = 45/121 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Country Direction

• Right 57.5% (+3.0%)
• Wrong 30.5% (-3.5%)
• Can’t Say 12.0% (+0.5%)