One News Colmar Brunton poll June 2016
June 8, 2016
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,509 voters of whom 1,245 have a party preference
Undecideds: 15%
Dates: 28 May to 2 June 2016
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 48.0% (-2%)
- Labour 29.0% (+1%)
- Green 12.0% (+2.0%)
- NZ First 9.0% (nc)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.4)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.3% (-0.4%)
- Mana 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 0.7% (+0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 35
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 11
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 15 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/122
On this poll National could govern with NZ First or Labour could govern with Greens, NZ First and Maori Party.
Preferred PM
- John Key 39.0% (nc)
- Andrew Little 7% (nc)
- Winston Peters 12% (+2%)
- Jacinda Ardern 1.0% (-1%)