Newshub Reid Research poll May 2016

May 24, 2016

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: May 2016

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 31.3% (-1.0%)
  • Green 11.1% (+0.9%)
  • NZ First 7.8% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.4% (-0.4%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 38
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/122 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 1 = 11/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 36.7% (-1.6%)
  • Andrew Little 8.9% (-1.5%)
  • Winston Peters 12.1% (+2.8%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 2.6% (-1.6%)

Housing

  • 20% think Government is doing enough to control the housing market
  • 76% do not
  • 61% think foreign buyers are driving up house prices

US Ships

  • 75% support a visit by a US Navy ship
  • 20% opposed

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