One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2016

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 voters of whom 841 have a party preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 2 to 6 April 2016

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 50.0% (+3%)
• Labour 28.0% (-4%)
• Green 10.0% (+2.0%)
• NZ First 9.0% (-1%)
• Maori 1.1% (nc)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.7% (+0.4%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
• Conservative 0.3% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

• National 61
• Labour 34
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 11
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 34 + Greens 11 = 45/121 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

• John Key 39.0% (-1)
• Andrew Little 7.0% (-2%)
• Winston Peters 10.0% (+1%)
• Jacinda Ardern 2.0% (nc)

Economic Outlook

• Better 43% (+5%)
• Worse 33% (-6%)
• Same 24% (+1%)

Sugar Tax

• 66% support a tax on soda drinks with sugar
• 29% oppose

Universal Basic Income (UBI)

• Support 32%
• Oppose 49%

Medical Marijuana (cannabis)

• Support 73%
• Oppose 21%

Immigration Levels

• More migrants 18%
• Fewer migrants 27%
• About right level 51%