One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2016
February 22, 2016
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,004 of whom 855 had a party preference
Undecideds: 11%
Dates: 13 to 17 February 2016
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 47.0% (nc)
- Labour 32.0% (+1%)
- Green 8.0% (-4.0%)
- NZ First 10.0% (+1%)
- Maori 1.0% (+0.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.3% (+0.1%)
- Mana 0.3% (+0.3%)
- Conservative 0.6% (+0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 39
- Green 10
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 12
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 10 = 49/122 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 12 + Maori 1 = 13/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- John Key 40.0% (nc)
- Andrew Little 9.0% (+1%)
- Winston Peters 9.0% (+1%)
- Jacinda Ardern 2.0% (-1%)
NZ Flag
- Current Flag 63%
- Alternative Flag 26%
Police Pursuits
- Police should be able to pursue any vehicle that fails to stop 68%
- NZ law should be changed 26%
TPP
- May impact our sovereignty and I’m concerned 44%
- May impact our sovereignty and not a big concern 22%
- Not much impact of sovereignty 24%