Roy Morgan poll December 2015

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 882 of whom 811 have a party preference

Undecideds: 8.0%

Dates: early December to 06 December 2015

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 49.0% (nc)
• Labour 28.5% (-1.0%)
• Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 6.0% (nc)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 33
• Green 16
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/120 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 33 + Greens 16 = 50/120 – 11 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/120

On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.

Country Direction

• Right 59.5% (-0.5%)
• Wrong 31.0% (+2.5%)
• Can’t Say 9.5% (-2.0%)