3 News Reid Research poll November 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 08 to 16 November 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 46.7% (-0.6%)
• Labour 32.3% (-0.7%)
• Green 10.2% (+0.2%)
• NZ First 7.5% (-0.4%)
• Maori 1.3% (+0.8%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.8% (+0.2%)
• Mana 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 0.7% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

• National 57
• Labour 39
• Green 12
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 9
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 9 + Maori 2 = 11/122

On this poll National could form a CR government with either Maori Party or NZ First while Labour would need both the Maori Party and NZ First.

Preferred PM

• John Key 38.3% (-1.2%)
• Andrew Little 10.4% (-0.4%)
• Winston Peters 9.3% (+0.7%)
• Jacinda Ardern 4.2% (+0.7%)