Roy Morgan poll November 2015

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 862 of whom 806 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.5%

Dates: early November to 08 November 2015

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 49.0% (-1.0%)
• Labour 29.5% (+0.5%)
• Green 12.0% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 6.0% (-0.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (+1.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 0.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 36
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/121

On this poll National could govern with ACT and United Future.

Country Direction

• Right 60.0% (+7.0%)
• Wrong 28.5% (-2.5%)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-4.5%)