One News Colmar Brunton poll September 2015
September 13, 2015
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,002 of whom 849 have a party preference
Undecideds: 11%
Dates: 29 August to 02 September 2015
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 47.0% (nc)
- Labour 32.0% (nc)
- Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 7.0% (nc)
- Maori 1.2% (+0.8%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
- Mana 0.2% (-0.3%)
- Conservative 0.1% (+0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 39
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 = 53/122 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/122
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- John Key 40.0% (nc)
- Andrew Little 10.0% (+2.0%)
- Winston Peters 6.0% (-1.0%)
- Jacinda Ardern 3.0% (+1.0%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 33% (-3%)
- Worse 45% (+4%)
- Same 22% (-2%)
NZ Flag
- Change flag 28% (+2%)
- Keep flag 66% (+2%)
- Unsure 6% (-3%)
Foreign Investment in Sensitive Land
- Continue current approval process 37%
- Ban all foreign investment in sensitive land 54%
Private Prisons
- Should should be privately run 21%
- All should be run by Corrections 69%
TPP
- Should sign 24%
- Not sign 44%
- Don’t know 32%