3 News Reid Research poll September 2015

September 23, 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 08 to 16 September 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 47.3% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+1.9%)
  • Green 10.0% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 7.9% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 0.5% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.6% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 40
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 12 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 1 = 10/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39.5% (+1.2%)
  • Andrew Little 10.8% (+0.6%)
  • Winston Peters 8.6% (-2.7%)
  • Jacinda Ardern 3.5%

NZ Flag

  • Change flag 25%
  • Keep flag 69%

Private Prisons

  • Govt only should run them 70%
  • 13% okay with Serco running them
  • 13% okay with private providers if not Serco

Labour Deputy Leadership

  • Jacinda Ardern 33%
  • Annette King 25%
  • Kelvin Davis 11%
  • Phil Twyford 3%

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