Roy Morgan poll August 2015

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 892 of whom 843 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: early August to 16 August 2015

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 50.5% (+7.5%)
• Labour 27.0% (-5.0%)
• Green 11.0% (-2.0%)
• NZ First 8.0% (+1.0%)
• Maori 1.5% (nc)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 0.0% (-1.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 61
• Labour 33
• Green 13
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/121 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 33 + Greens 13 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 12/121

On this poll National would be able to govern alone.

Country Direction

• Right 54.0% (+3.0%)
• Wrong 34.0% (+1.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.0% (-4.0%)