One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2015
July 19, 2015
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 856 have a party preference
Undecideds: 12%
Dates: 11 to 15 July 2015
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 32.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 13.0% (+3.0%)
- NZ First 7.0% (nc)
- Maori 0.4% (-1.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.4% (+0.3%)
- Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Conservative 0.0% (-2.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 39
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 8
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/123 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 16 = 55/123 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 8 + Maori 1 = 9/123
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Preferred PM
- John Key 40.0% (-4.0%)
- Andrew Little 8.0% (-1.0%)
- Winston Peters 7.0% (-2.0%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 36% (-9%)
- Worse 41% (+10%)
- Same 24% (nc)
Genetic Modification
- 44% support law change to allow NZ businesses to use some form of GM organisms
- 49% oppose
Refugees
- 53% support increasing quote from 750 to 1,000
- 44% opposed
Organ donation compensation
- 67% say organ donors should get compensation similar to ACC
- 22% say organ donors should get the sickness benefit
Euthanasia
- 75% support a terminally ill person being able to have a medical practitioner assist them to end their lives
- 21% opposed