One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2015

July 19, 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 856 have a party preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 11 to 15 July 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (+1.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+3.0%)
  • NZ First 7.0% (nc)
  • Maori 0.4% (-1.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 0.0% (-2.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 39
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/123 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 16 = 55/123 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 1 = 9/123

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 40.0% (-4.0%)
  • Andrew Little 8.0% (-1.0%)
  • Winston Peters 7.0% (-2.0%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 36% (-9%)
  • Worse 41% (+10%)
  • Same 24% (nc)

Genetic Modification

  • 44% support law change to allow NZ businesses to use some form of GM organisms
  • 49% oppose

Refugees

  • 53% support increasing quote from 750 to 1,000
  • 44% opposed

Organ donation compensation

  • 67% say organ donors should get compensation similar to ACC
  • 22% say organ donors should get the sickness benefit

Euthanasia

  • 75% support a terminally ill person being able to have a medical practitioner assist them to end their lives
  • 21% opposed

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