Roy Morgan poll June 2015

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 866 of whom 823 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 08 June to 21 June 2015

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 49.5% (-4.5%)
• Labour 26.0% (+0.5%)
• Green 13.0% (+2.5%)
• NZ First 6.5% (+0.5%)
• Maori 1.0% (nc)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 62
• Labour 32
• Green 16
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 8
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 8 + Maori 1 = 9/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Country Direction

• Right 62.5% (-0.5%)
• Wrong 27.0% (+0.5%)
• Can’t Say 10.5% (-0.5%)