3 News Reid Research Poll May 2015

June 3, 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 21 to 27 May 2015

Client: 3 News

Report3 News

Party Support

  • National 46.4% (-3.4%)
  • Labour 30.4% (+1.3%)
  • Green 11.1% (+1.8%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.1%  (-0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.6%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+1.3%)
  • Conservative 1.9% (-0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 37
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 14 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 1 = 11/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39.4% (-4.6%)
  • Andrew Little 11.6% (+1.8%)
  • Winston Peters 11.2% (+3.6%)

John Key

  • Went too far with ponytail pulling 52%
  • Was just horsing about 42%

House Affordability

  • 33% says Government is doing enough to keep prices under control
  • 60% say not enough
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