Roy Morgan poll April 2015

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 888 of whom 852 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 06 April to 19 April 2015

Client: Self Published

Report: Scoop

Party Support

• National 45.5% (-1.0%)
• Labour 27.5% (-3.5%)
• Green 13.5% (+2.5%)
• NZ First 8.5% (+2.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 34
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 34 + Greens 17 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 13/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 62.0% (-2.5%)
• Wrong 27.0% (+3.0%)
• Can’t Say 11.0% (-0.5%)