Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 891 of whom 846 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 02 September to 15 February 2015
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 49.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (+4.0%)
- Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 6.0% (nc)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.0% (-1.0%)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 37
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 15 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/122
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Country Direction
- Right 55.0% (-12.0%)
- Wrong 31.0% (+8.0%)
- Can’t Say 14.0% (+4.0%)