Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 935 of whom 888 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 01 September to 14 September 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 46.5% (+1.5%)
- Labour 24.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 13.5% (-2.5%)
- NZ First 8.0% (+2.0%)
- Maori 1.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 1.0% (nc)
- Conservative 3.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 30
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 1
- NZ First 10
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 30 + Greens 17 + Mana/Internet 1 = 48/121 – thirteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 10 + Maori 3 = 13/121
On this poll NZ First and the Maori Party would have the balance of power. National could govern with either of them, while Labour would need both of them.
Country Direction
- Right 62.0% (+1.0%)
- Wrong 24.0% (-1.0%)
- Can’t Say 14.0% (nc)