Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 762 of whom 735 have a party preference
Undecideds: 3.5%
Dates: 18 August to 31 August 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 45.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 26.0% (-1.5%)
- Green 16.0% (+4.5%)
- NZ First 6.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 0.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 1.0% (-1.5%)
- Conservative 3.5% (+2.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 33
- Green 20
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 1
- NZ First 8
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/123 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 20 + Mana/Internet 1 = 54/123 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 8 + Maori 3 = 11/123
On this poll NZ First would have the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 61.0% (-2.5%)
- Wrong 25.0% (+0.5%)
- Can’t Say 14.0% (+2.0%)