One News Colmar Brunton poll early September 2014
September 6, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,001 respondents, of whom 882 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 7%
Dates: 30 August to 03 September 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 50.0% (+2.0%)
- Labour 26.0% (-2.0%
- Green 11.0% (-1.0%)
- ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
- Maori 0.2% (-0.4%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Mana/Internet 2.4% (+0.8%)
- NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
- Conservative 2.9% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 32
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 3
- NZ First 8
- Conservative 0
- Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/125 – two more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 3 = 49/125 – 14 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/125
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 48% (+1.0%)
- David Cunliffe 14% (+2%)
- Winston Peters 4% (-1.0%)
Next National Party Leader
- Bill English 28%
- Steven Joyce 16%
- Paula Bennett 7%
- Judith Collins 2%
- Michael Woodhouse 2%
Economic Outlook
- Better 56% (nc)
- Worse 17% (-2%)
- Same 27% (+2%)
Preferred Housing Policies
- National 44%
- Labour 21%
- Greens 31%