One News Colmar Brunton Poll 10 September 2014
September 12, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,001 respondents, of whom 865 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 12%
Dates: 06 September to 10 September 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 46.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 25.0% (-1.0%
- Green 14.0% (+3.0%)
- ACT 1.2% (+1.1%)
- Maori 0.8% (+0.6%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Mana/Internet 1.4% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 7.0% (nc)
- Conservative 4.0% (+1.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 31
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 3
- NZ First 9
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 31 + Greens 18 + Mana/Internet 2 = 51/123 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 9 = 12/123
On this poll the centre parties would hold the balance of power and National could form a centre-right Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First Party while Labour could only form a centre-left Government with both centre parties.
Preferred PM
- John Key 46% (-2.0%)
- David Cunliffe 14% (nc)
- Winston Peters 6% (+2.0%)