Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Dates: 26 to 31 August 2014
Client: 3 News
Party Support
- National 46.4% (+1.4%)
- Labour 25.9% (-0.5%)
- Green 12.6% (-0.9%)
- ACT 0.6% (+0.3%)
- Maori 2.0% (+1.3%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.3%)
- Mana/Internet 1.7% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 5.8% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 4.2% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 33
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 2
- NZ First 7
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 16 + Mana/Internet 2 = 51/121 – ten fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/121
On this poll, the centre parties would hold the balance of power. National could govern with NZ First or with the Maori Party (and ACT/UF). Labour could only govern with the Greens, Internet Mana, NZ First and the Maori Party.
Preferred PM
- John Key 45.1% (+3.7%)
- David Cunliffe 11.4% (+0.3%)