Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 809 of whom 756 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 4 August to 17 August 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 48.0% (+2.0%)
- Labour 27.5% (-2.5%)
- Green 11.5% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 6.5% (+1.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 2.5% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 34
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 3
- NZ First 8
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 3 = 51/122 – eleven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 8 + Maori 3 = 11/121
On this poll National (plus ACT/UFNZ) could govern with either the Maori Party or NZ First while Labour (plus Greens/Mana) could only govern if both NZ First and the Maori Party supported them.
Country Direction
- Right 63.5% (+3.5%)
- Wrong 24.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.0% (-3.0%)