One News Colmar Brunton poll August 2014
August 17, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 824 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 15%
Dates: 9 to 13 August 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 50.0% (-2.0%)
- Labour 26.0% (-2.0%
- Green 11.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 0.6% (-0.2%)
- Maori 0.9% (+0.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Mana/Internet 3.9% (+1.9%)
- NZ First 5.0% (+0.4%)
- Conservative 2.4% (+0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 31
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 5
- NZ First 7
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/123 – two more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 31 + Greens 13 + Mana/Internet 5 = 49/123 – 13 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 7 = 10/123
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 45% (-3.0%)
- David Cunliffe 10% (+2%)
- Winston Peters 4% (+1.0%)