NZ Herald DigiPoll mid August 2014

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 12.5%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 656 had a party preference

Dates: 14 to 20 August 2014

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

• National 50.0% (-4.9%)
• Labour 25.2% (-1.3%)
• Green 13.7% (+3.8%)
• NZ First 4.7% (+0.1%)
• Maori 0.7% (+0.2%)
• United Future 0.4% (+0.4%)
• ACT 0.6% (+0.6%)
• Mana/Internet 2.1% (-0.1%)
• Conservative 2.6% (+1.4%)

Projected Seats

• National 64
• Labour 32
• Green 18
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• ACT 1
• Mana/Internet 3
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/122 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 32 + Greens 18 + Mana/Internet 3 = 53/124 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll, National would form the Government.

Preferred PM

• Key 64.8% (-8.5%)
• Cunliffe 14.6% (+4.1%)
• Peters 5.1% (-0.4%)
• Norman 3.5% (+1.5%)

Leader Approval

• John Key – 59.6% approve and 16.6% disapprove = +43.0% net approval
• David Cunliffe – 19.2% approve and 31.9% disapprove = -12.7% net approval

Hager Book

• 11% say it will cause a lot of damage
• 43% little damage
• 25% no damage

Farm Sales to Foreigners

• 13% no restrictions
• 33% ban
• 50%+ approve if it brings advantages such as jobs

Referenda

• 66% say referenda should be binding on the Government
• 22% disagree