Fairfax Ipsos poll August 2014

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1007 respondents of whom 854 have a party preference

Undecideds: 15.4%

Dates:Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

• National 55.1% (+0.3%)
• Labour 22.5% (-2.4%)
• Green 11.3% (-1.1%)
• NZ First 3.4% (+0.8%)
• Maori 1.0% (+0.1%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
• ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
• Mana 2.1% (+0.9%)
• Conservative 3.4% (+2.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 72
• Labour 29
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 3
• NZ First 0
• Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats. Coalition Options

• CR – National 72 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 74/124 – 11 more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 29 + Greens 15 + Mana 3 = 47/124 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/124

On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.

Preferred PM

• John Key 59.5% (+1.3%)
• David Cunliffe 14.1% (-0.1%)

Country Direction

• Right 65.4% (+1.3%)
• Wrong 33.5% (-0.6%)

Foreign Ownership

• 74% say should be harder for foreign investors to buy large farmland
• 24% disagree
• 53% say too much farmland has been sold
• 41% disagree
• 64% say NZ benefits from more foreign investment
• 31% disagree

Political Donations

• Reveal identity of all donors to political parties 68% agree
• 31% disagree

Government Approval

• 6.0/10 (no change

Time for change of Government

• Yes 40% (-1%)
• No 50% (-1%)