Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Dates: 20 to 25 August 2014 approx
Client: 3 News
Party Support
- National 45.0% (-2.5%)
- Labour 26.3% (-2.6%)
- Green 13.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.3% (nc)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.1%)
- United Future 0.4% (+0.2%)
- Mana/Internet 2.1% (+0.1%)
- NZ First 6.3% (+1.7%)
- Conservative 4.6% (+2.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 33
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 3
- NZ First 8
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/123 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Greens 17 + Mana/Internet 3 = 53/123 – nine fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 8 + Maori 3 = 11/123
On this poll, the centre parties would hold the balance of power. National could govern with NZ First or with the Maori Party (and ACT/UF). Labour could only govern with the Greens, Internet Mana, NZ First and the Maori Party.