Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 817 of whom 772 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 16 June to 29 June 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 48.0% (-1.5%)
- Labour 28.0% (nc)
- Green 12.0% (nc)
- NZ First 5.5% (+1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 2.5% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 34
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 3
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + Mana/Internet 3 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/122
On this poll National (plus ACT/UFNZ) could form a Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First OR Labour could form a Government with both the Maori Party and NZ First (and Greens and NZ First).
Country Direction
- Right 65.0% (+1.5%)
- Wrong 23.5% (-0.5)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)