Roy Morgan poll early July 2014

July 16, 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 819 of whom 774 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 30 June to 13 July 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 23.5% (-4.5%)
  • Green 15.0% (+3.0%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.5% (-1.0%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 28
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 2
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 28 + Greens 18 + Mana/Internet 2 = 48/122 – fourteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/122

On this poll National (plus ACT/UFNZ) would form a Government.

Country Direction

  • Right 65.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 23.0% (-0.5)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (nc)

Latest Polls

Get our paywalled newsletter on polling insights Subscribe

Get Curia's blog posts
via email