Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 819 of whom 774 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 30 June to 13 July 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+3.0%)
- Labour 23.5% (-4.5%)
- Green 15.0% (+3.0%)
- NZ First 6.0% (+0.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 1.5% (-1.0%)
- Conservative 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 28
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 2
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 28 + Greens 18 + Mana/Internet 2 = 48/122 – fourteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/122
On this poll National (plus ACT/UFNZ) would form a Government.
Country Direction
- Right 65.5% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 23.0% (-0.5)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (nc)