One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2014
July 29, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,001 respondents, of whom 828 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 19 to 23 July 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 52.0% (+2.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 10.0% (-2.0%)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.1%)
- Maori 0.6% (-0.6%)
- United Future 0.2% (+0.2%)
- Mana/Internet 2.0% (-0.3%)
- NZ First 4.4% (+0.6%)
- Conservative 1.7% (+0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 36
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 3
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Internet 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – six more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana/Internet 3 = 52/123 – ten fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 48% (+1.0%)
- David Cunliffe 8% (-2%)
- Winston Peters 3% (+1.0%)