Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 849 of whom 802 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 19 May to 01 June 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 52.5% (+7.0%)
- Labour 29.0% (-1.5%)
- Green 9.0% (-4.5%)
- NZ First 4.5% (-1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Mana/Internet 1.0% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 37
- Green 12
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – seven more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122
On this poll National would form a Government.
Country Direction
- Right 64.5% (+4.5%)
- Wrong 24.0% (-4.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)