One News Colmar Brunton poll June 2014
June 29, 2014
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,002 respondents, of whom 813 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 15%
Dates: 21 to 25 June 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 50.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 0.7% (-0.1%)
- Maori 1.2% (+0.4%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 2.3% (+1.2%)
- NZ First 3.8% (-1.0%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 36
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana/Internet 3
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Internet 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – four more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 + Mana/Internet 3 = 54/123 – eight fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 47% (+4.0%)
- David Cunliffe 10% (nc)
- Winston Peters 2% (-4.0%)
Coalitions
- 75% say parties should declare before election day who they would work with
- 19% disagree
Team NZ
- 62% say Team NZ should rely on private sponsorship from now on
- 30% say the Government should give Team NZ more money