Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 873 of whom 825 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 05 May to 18 May 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 45.5% (+3.0%)
- Labour 30.5% (-0.5%)
- Green 13.5% (-1.0%)
- NZ First 6.0% (nc)
- Maori 1.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 1.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Internet 0.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 37
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/123 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 55/123 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/123
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 60.0% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 28.0% (+1.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.0% (+0.5%)