Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 755 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 17%
Dates: 17 to 21 May 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+4.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 11.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.5%)
- Maori 0.8% (+0.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
- Mana 0.4% (+0.4%)
- NZ First 4.8% (-2.2%)
- Conservative 1.3% (-1.0%)
- Internet 0.7% (+0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 38
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Internet 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – five more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 + Internet 0 = 53/123 – nine fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 43% (+1.0%)
- David Cunliffe 10% (+2.0%)
- Winston Peters 6% (+2.0%)
House Prices
- 68% support register of foreign ownership of property, 22% against
- 57% support more immigration controls to reduce house prices, 33% against
Economic Outlook
- Better 59% (-3%)
- Same 24% (+6%)
- Worse 17% (-3%)
Budget
- Better off 9% (+3%)
- Same 66% (-4%)
- Worse off 10% (-3%)